Pennsylvania Study Tests Whether Gun Owner Choice Leads to Safer Storage
A $733K federal trial will test if letting firearm owners pick their preferred lock makes them more likely to actually use it, potentially cutting suicide risk.
More than 27,000 Americans die by firearm suicide each year, and researchers in Pennsylvania think one overlooked factor is making the problem worse: the free cable locks that health clinics hand out often go unused because gun owners who keep firearms for self-defense see them as a liability in an emergency.
A new $732,795 grant from the National Institute of Nursing Research is funding a randomized trial to test a behavioral fix: instead of automatically handing gun owners a cable lock, let them choose between a cable lock and a quick-access lock box. The hypothesis, grounded in behavioral economics, is that people are far more likely to actually secure a firearm with a device that matches how they think about their gun.
The logic is straightforward. Cable locks are cheap and easy to distribute, which is why they dominate safe storage programs. But the most common reason Americans own guns is self-protection, and a cable lock that requires threading through a trigger guard every time you want access can feel incompatible with that purpose. Lock boxes with biometric or keypad entry solve that tension, but they typically cost $50 to $200 or more, making them impractical for most programs to give away at scale. No randomized trial has ever tested whether the added cost of offering owner-preferred devices is offset by higher rates of actual use.
Pennsylvania is a fitting place to run the experiment. The state has roughly 4.5 million gun-owning households, no statewide safe storage law, and a political and geographic landscape that mirrors the national divide: rural counties with high ownership rates and strong gun culture sit alongside Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, where gun violence is a persistent public health emergency and where gun purchases surged during the pandemic. An estimated 5.4 million Americans became first-time gun owners in 2020 alone, and many belonged to demographic groups historically less represented among gun owners, including women and Black Americans, making questions about how storage programs work across different populations especially urgent.
The study will run through community health sites and outpatient settings across the state, comparing standard cable lock distribution against a choice-based approach. Researchers will track not just whether participants report storing firearms more securely, but how the intervention performs across different demographic groups, neighborhood income levels, and ownership patterns. The University of Pittsburgh and University of Pennsylvania have both been national leaders in firearm injury prevention research, and this grant likely draws on that expertise, though the record does not name a principal investigator.
The research is only possible because of a policy shift that itself took two decades. From 1996 to 2018, the Dickey Amendment was interpreted by federal agencies as a de facto ban on gun violence research at the CDC and NIH. Congress clarified in 2018 that the amendment carried no such prohibition, and in 2020 appropriated $25 million specifically for firearm injury prevention research, the first dedicated federal funding in a generation. This grant flows from that reopened pipeline.
If the Pennsylvania trial shows that choice-based programs produce meaningfully higher rates of secure storage, the findings could reshape how health systems, community organizations, and state legislatures design and fund safe storage initiatives nationwide. Results, and whether they gain any policy traction in a state where firearm legislation remains politically contested, are likely still several years away.